NOVEMBER SWEEPS HOUSEHOLD RESULTS
The analysis on the late newscasts I promised last issue is bumped to next issue. I actually have the analysis finished, but I'm going to see if someone else with a wider readership wants to use it first. Either way, next week I'll show why I think Diann Burns added no more than 1/2 rating point to Channel 2's 10pm news this past November. I'll also present my regular tally of sweep stories.

In the meantime, let's have fun with numbers, shall we?

Here's a chart with the average number of Households watching the late newscasts Monday-Friday during the November 2003 sweep compared to the November 2002 sweep was:
Rank Station Nov 2003 Nov 2002 Difference
1. Channel 7 371,600 402,500 -30,900
2. Channel 5 333,000 425,900 -92,900
3. Channel 2 227,000 179,700 +47,300
4. Channel 9 178,400 214,000 -35,600
5. Channel 32 145,300 167,000 -21,700
6. Channel 38* 24,400 33,200 -8,800
TOTAL VIEWERS 1,285,700 1,422,300 -136,600
* 10:30pm Rebroadcast of Channel 5's 10pm News
Source: Nielsen Media Research Overnight Reports

As you can tell, the big winners in the late news race were Channel 2 (the only station to add viewers compared to last year) and Channel 7 (regaining spot as #1 in Households). As I said above, I'll have more on Channel 2 next week.

I'd like to note that Chicago has a total of 3,399,460 TV Households.
In November, an average of 1,285,700 Households watched a late newscast. Since the number is averaged over 20 days (5 days a week for the 4 week sweep) it is impossible to tell how many unique viewers watched the news. What I mean by that for example is that even though Channel 5 averaged 333,000 Households, that does not mean only 333,000 Chicago Households tuned in. 333,000 represents the average audience for the entire half-hour show over 20 days of the rating sweep. If you watched for 15 minutes one night and your neighbor watched for 15 minutes, that would average out to one Household watching the entire show for the night. Channel 9 and 32 are handicapped in this comparison because they have hour-long shows and viewing tends to drop off over the course of an hour.

It's not true that ONLY 38% of Chicago TV Households watch a late newscast with 62% not watching news. It is true to say that on any given November evening, an average of 38% of Chicago TV Households watched an entire late news broadcast.
FUZZY MATH
The big local story today is about how successful City Clerk James Laski's vehicle sticker crackdown has been after only 5 days.

From the Tribune:
"City staffers have written a slew of tickets after receiving new authority to check most private Chicago parking lots and garages for vehicle sticker scofflaws, and big bucks are on the way to the city's treasury, City Clerk James Laski said Thursday."
From the Sun-Times:
"After only five days on the prowl at just 40 of 496 city-licensed garages, 8 to 10 of Laski's investigators have issued 1,007 tickets that are expected to generate $166,155 in sorely needed revenue."

Caught up in Laski's orgasmic press conference, the Sun-Times added:
"If the ticketing blitz continues at the same frenzied pace, the sticker crackdown could rake in $6.1 million next year. The take could go even higher once Revenue Department investigators and Chicago police officers join the hunt.
'We still have a lot of garages to check out yet. What I believe this is just the tip of the iceberg. If in five working days we can write a thousand tickets and generate $166,000 for the city, just imagine what we can do in a year's time,' Laski said."

The Tribune added:
"Next year, the clerk predicted that the new program will generate about $6 million."

Actually, at a pace of 1000 tickets every 5 working days, that would be approximately 48,000 tickets (adjusting for let's say, 20 city holidays/slacking off days) in 2004. The ticket doubles next year to $120, so every ticket would cost a motorist $225 total ($75 sticker, $30 late fee, $120 ticket). That means 48,000 tickets would rake in $10.8 million. This of course is before accounting for whatever no-bid contract the Duffs or Walsh Construction might get from this-you never know.

That's a whole lotta tickets
That's a whole lotta money.
That's a whole lotta hooey.

This projection expects all the scofflaws to continue driving without a sticker. Also, the late fees aren't going to matter once the new sticker goes on sale. And then there's the problem of supply and demand. The city has 496 garages that Laski's crews will be checking. They checked 40 in 5 days. By projection, they will have checked all 496 in 12 1/2 weeks. Sure, they'll probably go back and re-check the garages again, but the law of diminishing returns says that they'll be less and less successful on the second and third passes.

So. Let's re-project.

40 garages yielded $166,000 in fines, an average of $4,150 per garage (will be $5,625 in 2004).
456 more garages project to yield just $2,565,000 (assuming $5,625 per garage in 2004).

Let's give a high estimate that they will write half as many tickets on the second 13 1/2 week pass: $1,395,000
So far 27 weeks = $4,126,000

Let's give another high estimate that they will write half as many tickets on the third 13 1/2 week pass: $697,500
Now 40 1/2 weeks = $4,823,500

Let's give yet another high estimate that they will write half as many tickets on the fourth 13 1/2 week pass: $348,750

So, 54 weeks for 2003 & all of 2004 = $5,172,250

No one in their right mind would expect these projections to come true.

So how the hell did Laski estimate $6 million in revenue next year, and why didn't anyone from the mainstream press get a breakdown of his projection or do the math and ask a follow-up question?
ESPN SPORTSCENTER NO LONGER DEPENDABLE
On Wednesday night I was at the "Ted Center" along with 12,000 other folks watching my beloved Buffalo Sabres beat the crappy WirtzHawks. After I go to a game, I like to watch the highlights afterwards to see the contrasting televised perspective. I got home just after 10:30 on Wednesday and caught most of the early SportsCenter, then I watched the late SportsCenter.

No highlights.
No mention that the game was played, except on the on-screen ticker.
I kid you not.

What the--???

Apparently you can no longer count on SportsCenter to show highlights from all the night's major sporting events. SportsCenter has turned into a bizarre circus sideshow anyway. On any given night you might see two goofballs playing "Fact or Fiction" or a scripted comedy segment by Kenny Mayne or Nick Bakay. On Wednesday night they had no time to even report the 3-2 Sabre victory over the Chicago Indigenous-People but they had plenty of time for Dan Patrick to put Brett Hull on the (beer sponsor) Hot Seat for such probing questions as: "What percentage of NHL players have all their original teeth?". They also had plenty of time for a game of ESPN Hearsay, which is a variation of the old Password game show.

No time for any highlights of the game between the Buffalo Swords and the Chicago Tomahawks, though.

I knew that SportsCenter Jumped the Shark way back when Keith Olbermann left. I just never expected the show to degrade into the mess it's become.

I miss "CNN Sports Tonight" with Fred Hickman & Nick Charles.
MUSINGS
Updating last week's item about Sun-Times sports columnist Jay Mariotti's fantasy football exploits; I need to make a slight correction. While Jay-boy is still dead last, there does seem to be hope of him exiting the cellar. After 13 weeks, the "ATH" football standings are:
1032 for Max Kellerman (ESPN Boxing)
1007 for Michael Holley (Boston Globe)
937 for Tim Cowlishaw (Dallas Morning News)
901 for Woody Paige (Denver Post)
844 for Jay Mariotti (Chicago Sun-Times)
So, Jay is now 57 points behind Woody Paige.
He's also 188 points behind the Boxing expert.

Looking at pictures of the doe-eyed 32-year-old Alexandra "Andrea" Coutretsis (formerly Prokos) in news reports on Thursday, I couldn't help but picture her in my mind, bent over a desk with her pants around her ankles taking some "dictation". Can you blame me? She's pretty cute and she did have an affair with her boss, Scott Fawell--so she's been there and done that. Actually, another thought in my mind was on a couple of news reports from November. One was a newspaper article from somewhere that eludes my memory at this time about how more men cheat than women (who are the surplus men cheating with? Each other?). The other was a goofy sweeps report on Channel 2 by Sylvia Gomez and hubby Jon Duncanson called "His Cheating Heart" about how to keep your man from wandering. Sure, Fawell had no principles and had no problem cheating on his wife, but let's not forget his young assistant who readily played hide the salami with Scott. Is she a victim or a cheater as well? Luckily, the media seem to be portraying her as equally complicit.
Maybe it's time for Sylvia & Jon to do the "Her Cheating Heart" follow-up…just to be fair & balanced.
WALKIN' IN A WINFREY WONDERLAND
By: Guest Columnist Sue Darby
Oprah Winfrey has done it again. She has answered the eternal questions, "What, in fact, is the True Meaning of Christmas?" And, "How can we, regardless of our differing faiths and cultures, best honor and observe the Holiday Season?"

The Answers?? Overwhelming Greed, and Crass Commercialism.

For those who are immune to the pull of the Queen of Talk, I'm referring to the annual ritual called "Oprah's Favorite Things". In this episode of her show, Oprah announces her personal picks for holiday gift items, and then...gives each and every audience member one of everything!! This is accompanied by escalating hysteria, as an army of elf-costumed minions delivers the loot to the outstretched arms of the screaming, jumping crowd. And these are not your run-of -the-mill gifts. Honey, this stuff is all top shelf, high end, and not what you're going to find at Wal-Mart.

It is truly difficult to watch, and I have to admit that I didn't catch this year's orgy of materialism, but I did see last year's, albeit while biting a pillow and peeking at the screen through splayed fingers. It really is that gross. I did hear some rebroadcast audio of the recent travesty, where the shrieks reached a crescendo with the presentation of a $1000.00 DVD-cam (the price tag was repeated several times, so I know I have it right).

All of this mayhem seems at odds with Winfrey's current incarnation as the embodiment of modern-day spiritual renewal and self-help. Some would say that she has successfully raised the bar for the entire talk-show genre with uplifting, socially conscious, and genuinely thought-provoking topics. But I have to ask: were the folks on the 'Favorite Things' show Remembering Their Spirits?? Um, no...they were too busy foaming at the mouth and tearing their hair, clamoring to see what the next pricey bauble would be. It also appears to run counter to Winfrey's policy of not providing product endorsements. No, you won't see her actually appearing in a television commercial, but she will provide her invaluable royal warrant to an array of items, which are provided to her show gratis. The same items are then gobbled up at retail by a legion of Oprah fans, who have been helpfully informed by their mentor where they may be purchased. And the retailers often sell out of Oprah's "favorites" well before December 25th.

Steve Dahl gave an interesting theory the day the show aired on why Oprah sullies her own image by producing this mess. It's very simple: who does she have in her life to buy gifts for? Much has been made of the oceans of largesse bestowed on her family and inner circle--at some point, it has to be somewhat passe' for them. (I also have to say that I love Mr. Dahl's pet catchphrase for Ms. Winfrey: that she puts the 'O' in 'Narcissism'.) Oprah has often stated on her show as well, that she gives "great gifts" to her staff for Christmas, birthdays, and whenever else she feels the urge. When does it become too much? I can just picture a production assistant, worn out from a day of taping, dragging the lastest bag of swag to her tiny Loop condo. Passing the giant Sony television, the dresser crammed to bursting with unworn BedHead pajamas, and the stacked cartons of Kiehl's bath gel.

And what becomes of the audience members, unaccustomed as they must be to such luxury? After the shock and awe wear off, what exactly does one do with gingerbread-scented salt scrub? And how to get it all home? I had a hysterical vision of the winos and prostitutes from the neighborhood surrounding Harpo Studios converging on the scene, hoping to score, perhaps, a gourmet smoked turkey, abandoned at the curb by a tour group from Kalamazoo.

Even if it warms Oprah Winfrey's heart to let us into her world, where macaroons cost more than twenty bucks a dozen; and then to give a big, honking chunk of that world to a small group of people, thereby transforming them for an hour into rampaging beasts--it's evil. And it has to stop.
LETTERS TO THE CME
Your commentary on John Kass' column about the D&X procedure [last ish -Ed.] was brilliant. As far as I'm concerned, fair & balanced (sorry to borrow the tag line from the devils at Fox News) writing like that is what editorials should be like. Much better than some special interest shill (Greely, Mitchell, etc) crying foul on any perceived injustice.
Thanks for the great article.
- J.N.


Regarding your list of reasons to read Kass and Zorn [last ish -Ed.], I would reverse your list--all four would apply to Zorn and only two would apply to Kass. I just find Kass unreadable half the time. Different strokes for different folks...as the saying goes.
Zorn alerted me to your column. You are now bookmarked.
- R.P.


A friend of mine told me about this website.I love it! As a Chicago firefighter were used to the press dragging us through the mud whenever the shit hits the fan. It's refreshing to see someone point out their shortcomings as well. I'm forwarding a letter sent to "Daley's News' recently. You'll be shocked to know that they didn't print or respond to it. Keep up the good work and fell free to run it. - J. M.

J.M.'s Letter to the ST sent November 16, 2003:
"Concerning today's editorial regarding the "The Emerald Mess". "We are not particularly troubled to see most investors get their money back". Perhaps in the future you can remind your readers exactly who "we" are. And that "we" just happen to employ the husband of one of the investors that "we" think should get their money back. And that "we" are at a total loss to explain how that woman was given an opportunity to invest in that casino to begin with other than her relationship to someone that "we" employ. Just how stupid do you think "we" (your readers) are?"
ASK THE CME
No queries came in this week.
OUT OF THE BOX: Line Justice
Two stories that news folks found both humorous and disturbing happened last Friday, the once-but-no-longer busiest shopping day of the year. In one case, a woman was trampled at a Wal-Mart by frenzied shoppers swarming for $29 DVD players (top of the line DVD players, no doubt). In another case there was video of a woman who decided that instead of queuing up in line outside a Toys-R-Us, she could wait in her car, then just as the store opened, cut in to the front of the line but was rebuffed by several of the women already in line. In both cases, the mob was portrayed as having bad behavior. While it is true in the DVD Player case, I vehemently disagree in the Toys-R-Us case.

I don't need to see overpaid anchormeat roll their eyes and tsk tsk the people in line for objecting to someone cutting in front of them. Of course, we're talking about anchormeat with egos who regularly expect to be upgraded to the front of the line or the best seat in the house, etc. These anchormeat have no concept on how regular lower-to-middle class working people live. Anyway, a small debate has popped up as to who is responsible for the trampling and to a lesser extent, the line jumper.

The larger issue is the decline of civility in American society.

The slightly-smaller-than-the-larger issue is the flawed concept of peer pressure or "Line Justice". In both cases, the businesses in question created a situation where a large group of people would assemble outside and then suddenly let loose into the store. Instead of taking the logical, appropriate action of having crowd control personnel judiciously tame the throng, the businesses instead relied on peer pressure to police the crowd. The idea is that most people are interested in order and fairness, so a majority of people in line will keep any troublemakers in order.

Unfortunately, the peer pressure concept is not as effective in society today as it was years ago. Most people no longer want to get involved. Few people want to rock the boat. Few people will risk confrontation while standing up for what is right. Couple that with the fact that the kind of person who will break the social order is generally self-centered, greedy and unconcerned with what other people say or think.

In the case of the DVD player, Wal-Mart created a situation where shoppers knew demand would outstrip supply. Maybe they had 50 DVD Players at each store for $29. The first 40-50 people in line would remain orderly and courteous. The next 100 people are well aware that their chances for a DVD Player were low. An animalistic nature set in which the DESIRE for a DVD player became the NEED for a DVD player. Greed takes over, the person acts in a self-centered fashion and when the doors are open, the other people in line are viewed as obstacles to their goal of a $29 DVD Player (Seriously…how good can these DVD players be at $29?).

In the case of the Toys-R-Us line jumper, Toys-R-Us created a similar situation where demand for the toys on sale would outstrip supply. Even if the woman in the car had originally been fourth in line, Line Justice says that in order to keep your place in line, you cannot leave. She decided to wait in her car and when the doors were flung open, scores of people who patiently waited in line watched as someone got out of their car and tried to cut in front of everyone. Peer Pressure did not affect this woman because she had a skewed, self-centered viewpoint on the rules of the line. Line Justice took over as several people who waited became angry that someone would try to rudely cut in front of them.

In both cases, the stores are 100% at fault. They created the situations and then exacerbated them by failing to police the crowds they attracted. This is why concerts and sporting events have security guards. This is why bars and clubs have bouncers. The clueless anchormeat can tsk tsk all they want, but the crowds were not to blame here.

One classic case of a business incorrectly assuming peer pressure will solve issues happens every day on the CTA. The CTA has a rule that prohibits eating on the trains & buses, but drivers rarely enforce the rule. The CTA expects that peer pressure from other riders will cause the offender to stop. Not. The CTA's "No Smoking" rule at EL stations is a joke. During the evening rush hour, you can go into the subway and witness people smoking right next to "No Smoking" signs and within view of Chicago Police officers (told not to enforce the rule). Again, the CTA wrongly believes that peer pressure from other riders will take care of the smoking problem. The CTA doesn't understand that our society is overwhelmingly self-centered.

We live in an age where hit and run accidents have become common. Few people surrender their seats to the disabled or elderly. The individual overshadows teamwork. Courtesy is expected but not returned. Manners are ridiculed, not taught. Most people believe they are the center of the world.

"Do unto others as you would have them do unto you" has been replaced by "screw you, I'm gonna do what I want."










The Chicago Media Examiner is published by John Kuczaj
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